Our man Killer is back with the lowdown on how best to take advantage of the goals market in tomorrow’s Premier League fixtures. The lad with the goal-den touch has thrown together a 18/1 ten-fold for us this week, so let’s see how he expects things to play out …
Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur – Under 3.5 Goals
Both squads had a lot of players on international duty, and usually the early Saturday morning games after the international break don’t provide a lot of goals. This fixture has finished 1-1 at the Emirates on the last 3 occasions in the Premier League, and I don’t see four goals being scored in this one. Surely Arsenal won’t play the high pressing game that they played against Liverpool and Man City, where they got destroyed on the counter-attack, and will be more compact instead, in order to not play into Spurs’ hands.
AFC Bournemouth v Huddersfield Town – Under 3.5 Goals
Midfielder Andrew Surman is Bournemouth’s top scorer this season with two goals, and Huddersfield have failed to score in seven of their 11 games this season which highlights the struggles that both teams are having in front of goal. David Wagner will set up his Huddersfield team in his usual fashion as being hard to beat, and Bournemouth will find it hard to break them down.
If either team scores first I can see them sitting on their lead, and trying to grind out an important three points. This will probably be the last game on Match of the Day on Saturday night, and I can’t see there being four goals in this one.
Burnley v Swansea City – Team A / Over 0.5
Tough night for the Irish players on Tuesday night against Denmark, and Chris Wood also lost in his World Cup play-off to Peru while playing for New Zealand. This will naturally have an effect on these Burnley players both physically and mentally, but I still think The Clarets will have enough to beat a struggling Swansea City team.
There shouldn’t be many goals in this one and the bookies agree, but Burnley to get on the scoresheet is good value at 1/3. Interestingly, this fixture has finished 1-0 to Swansea four times in the last three seasons.
Odds: 1/3 Note: Bet365 users will need to go to the ‘clean sheet’ market and choose for Swansea not to keep a clean sheet.
Crystal Palace v Everton – Over 1.5 Goals
Crystal Palace haven’t kept a clean sheet all season, and Everton haven’t kept any since beating Stoke on the opening day of the season. Both clubs will see this as a winnable game, and I don’t see it as being a dull affair.
Back to back wins for Everton will help David Unsworth’s case of becoming the next Toffees Manager, and you feel that this is a must win for Crystal Palace that could kick start their season and bring Everton back into the regulation battle. A few goals are expected in this one and 2/5 is a great price.
Leicester City v Manchester City – Under 4.5
Man City would have had their whole squad on international duty, and even the best teams find it hard to get going after the international break. Claude Puel is a shrewd manager and will make it difficult for the visitors, and will probably add an extra midfielder and hope to hit City on the counter.
He picked up a 1-1 draw against Man City with his Southampton team last season, and although I think a few goals will be scored, I don’t think that there will be five. The bookies are making it difficult in getting value for goals scored, but the beauty of the ‘under goals scored’ market is that you are winning from the first whistle.
Liverpool v Southampton – Team A / Over 1.5
I can’t see anything but a comfortable win for Liverpool on Saturday, and with odds of 1/2 to score twice against a poor Southampton team is really good value.
Liverpool are nearly at full strength now and their attacking options should be too strong for Southampton. This is an important game for Jurgen Klopp’s side to keep them in the hunt for a Champions League spot, and to start a run of winnable fixtures between now and the New Year that could see them become Man City’s nearest title rivals in January.
Odds 1/2 Note: This bet is not available for Bet365 users, would recommend a handicap bet of Liverpool -1 instead.
West Bromwich Albion v Chelsea – Over 1.5
If Chelsea want to be title contenders, these are the games that they cannot afford to drop points in now. With only two wins in 20 games for West Brom, the Baggies need to put in at the very least a good performance, even if the result doesn’t go their way.
West Brom scored twice in their last home game to Man City, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they got on the score sheet on Saturday; but I still think Chelsea will have too much for them and come out on top in the end. Two goals in this game seems like a solid bet.
Manchester United v Newcastle United – Over 1.5
Unless your backing Man Utd to win at 1/3, the bookies are making it difficult to bet on goals scored. Benitez will set his Newcastle side up as hard to breakdown, and Mourinho will happily take a 1-0 win. However, you wouldn’t be surprised either if Man Utd went out and gave the Geordies a hammering. Two goals or more is the obvious bet, as it should be a comfortable win for United with Lukaku ending his baron spell in the process.
Watford v West Ham – Team A / Over 0.5
David Moyes hasn’t been shy in telling people that the first problem that he needs to fix at West Ham is their defence. We are sure to see a different Hammers side that will be more compact, and much harder to beat. If you offered David Moyes a point now he would snap your hand off.
As for Watford, if rumours are to be believed, Marco Silva is on his way to Everton, so this may have an effect on the Hornets. However, the bookies still think that there will be goals in this game and I don’t think David Moyes can work miracles overnight. Watford to get on the scoresheet looks a sure bet.
Odds: 1/4 Note: Bet365 users will need to go to the ‘clean sheet’ market and choose for West Ham not to keep a clean sheet.
Brighton v Stoke – Team A / 0.5
This game is a difficult one to predict and if my bet runs into this game I will probably consider a nice cashout. However, Brighton have scored in five out of their last six games, only failing to score against Arsenal at the Emirates. They have also scored in all their home games this season apart from Man City on the opening day of the season.
As for Stoke, they have only kept a clean sheet twice this season, and their influential goalkeeper Jack Butland is injured for this game. All the facts and figures lead to Brighton getting on the score sheet on Monday night.
Odds: 1/3 Note: Bet365 users will need to go to the ‘clean sheet’ market and choose for Stoke not to keep a clean sheet.
-The North London Derby can be unpredictable at times; taking this game out and starting the bet at 3pm instead, will give you a 12/1 nine-fold.
-Leicester v Man City could possibly be a goal fest; taking this game out will give you a 14/1 nine-fold.
-Taking the two above bets out will give you a 9/1 eight-fold
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