In our weekly feature, we will be pre-viewing all the Premier League games and picking out what we see to be good value odds. Including a brief narrative on why we’ve made these picks. These tips are for straight bets, so all odds are at least above evens.
Tips for Sunday and Monday games to come tomorrow.
All prices by Bet365 our favourite Bookie.
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Swansea v Man United
Swansea finally lost Talisman Gylfi Sigurdson to Everton this week, and manager Paul Clement will be aware that filling the boots of a man that was directly involved in almost 50% of his side’s goals last season will be a massive task.
Expect it to be a busy couple of weeks in the transfer market for the South-Wales club. They were lucky to get away from St Mary’s with a point last week, which owed as much to Southampton’s profligacy in front of goal as Swansea’s defensive solidity. The only real positive for Clement being that on-loan Chelsea youngster, Tammy Abraham, looked lively up front and should be capable of scoring goals at this level.
Jose Mourinho’s Manchester United side will go into this game full of confidence after a hugely impressive opening-day display against West Ham. As we said here it looks like the Old Trafford club may finally be ready to get involved in the Premier League title race again after several seasons of disappointment.
Hard to see anything but a away win here.
Man United and over 2.5 goals
Bournemouth v Watford
The Cherries got their season off to a disappointing start with a 1-0 loss away to Tony Pulis’ West Brom last weekend, despite dominating possession, Eddie Howes side couldn’t break down a resolute Baggies defence. Bournemouth have strengthened well this season however, with Asmir Begovic, Nathan Ake and Jermaine Defoe all looking to be excellent signings and many are predicting they will have enough to finish in the top-ten.
Watford were superb in parts against Liverpool last weekend, Marco Silva continues to impress with his ability to organise his teams and work out the weaknesses of his opponents.
Bournemouth have never beaten Watford in the four Premier League games between the sides, so I was tempted to go for a draw, but then I remembered that this will be Jimmy Defoe’s first game back at Dean Court and backing the veteran goal-machine is surely the way to go here.
Defoe score anytime 6/5
Burnley v West Brom
Both of these sides got their Premier League campaigns off to the ideal start last weekend with wins. I like both Sean Dyche and Tony Pulis’ no-nonsense style of play at times, but put them both together and this is bound to a absolute shit-feast of aimless long balls and aerial duels.
Unfortunately I can’t find odds on this game being last on MOTD so I’m backing a eye-gougingly drab 0-0.
Result 0-0, 6/1
Leicester v Brighton
Despite losing their first game of the season away to Arsenal last week, The Foxes can draw plenty of positives from their performance. As we said here, new signing Harry Maguire was superb and Jamie Vardy was back to his razor-sharp best so I’m backing them for a top-half finish this term.
Brighton were well organised as we expected, but woeful on the ball, again, as we expected. It’s very difficult to see how The Seagulls will score enough goals to stay up with their current crop of players.
Leicester all the way for me here lads.
Leicester win, evens
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Liverpool’s shocking defensive display against Watford last weekend left even their most ardent of fans scratching their heads as to how such a obvious flaw in their game continues to go unaddressed. After finishing last season with the worst defensive record from set-pieces it seems Jurgen Klopp has spent less time working on this problem than he does brushing his rapidly decaying teeth.
Crystal Palace boss Frank De Boer will be under pressure already after their shocking 3-0 opening day defeat against newly-promoted Huddersfield. You can imagine the players will take time to get used to the Dutch coache’s progressive passing approach after spending the lasts few seasons working under long ball merchants Tony Pulis, Alan ”Chunky” Pardew and Sam Allardicce.
I think Liverpool will come out on top in the end, but I fancy Christian Benteke to be exactly the type of player The Reds’ shaky defence will struggle against this year.
Benteke to score anytime 9/4
Southampton v West Ham United
The Saints played some good football last weekend against Swansea but their inability to hit the onion bag at home seems to have carried over from last season and is something new boss Mauricio Pelligrino will need to address if they are to match the success of their last few seasons.
Slaven Bilic’s West Ham seemed to roll over pretty easily against Man United last weekend and will need to buck up their ideas quickly or they could be playing catch up by the time they face Huddersfield in their first home game of the season on 11 September. For all the praise of West Ham’s summer recruitment it’s hard not to think they are still a top-class centre half short of finishing in the top-ten.
Stoke v Arsenal
Stoke manager Mark Hughes is many people’s favourite to win the sack race, having won only three Premier League games since February and with two of those victories coming against teams that are now in the Championship, it’s easy to see why. I’m not sure sure though, despite losing Marko Arnautovic to West Ham, I reckon Darren Fletcher, Erik Chumpo-Moting and ex Real Madrid starlet Jese will all prove to be good additions, meaning The Potters may not struggle as badly as most people seem to think.
Arsenal were, well, just very Arsenal in their 4-3 victory over Leicester. The Gunners were, as is so often the case, good going forward but naive defensively. Arsene Wenger will be without his best defender Laurent Koscienly for the trip to his least favourite of stadiums, the Bet365, and Stoke will surely aim to put Arsenal’s light weight defence under pressure from the off.
I fancy Stoke to cause an upset on Saturday evening.
Stoke and over 2.5 goals 6/1
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