In our weekly feature, we will be pre-viewing all the Super Sunday games and picking out what we see to be good value odds. Including a brief narrative on why we’ve made these picks.
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Man United v Swansea
Man United extended their unbeaten run in the Premier League to 24 games after Thursdays 0-0 draw in the Manchester Derby. It must be said however that considering the amount of disappointing draws within that run this is probably one of the most uninspiring unbeaten runs ever seen. The unbeaten streak does show a resilience and a high level of defensive organisation so add more goals during the summer transfer window and this United side will be a force to be reckoned with next season.
Ever since Marcus Rashford scored his first Premier League goal in 6 months against Sunderland a few weeks ago he has looked to be in the type of razor sharp form that he showed when he first burst on to the scene last season, which is a massive plus point for United considering Zlatan’s cruciate ligament injury. Win this game and United will move ahead of Liverpool and cap the slowest march into the top four since records began.
Swansea finally got back to winning ways last weekend beating Stoke 2-0 at the Liberty Stadium. Hull’s excellent point away to Southampton today will only increase the pressure on Paul Clement’s men going into this fixture. Clement’s plan will be simple, defend deep and try to frustrate United as many sides have done at Old Trafford so far this season and then hope that the returning Fernando Llorente and Glyfi Sigurdson can knick something going forward.
Despite this being the type of game United have drawn all season I expect them to get over the line and get a much needed 3 points, with Rashford hitting the onion bag in the process.
Rashford anytime 5/4
Everton v Chelsea
Ronald Koeman’s Everton will be looking to get back on track in this game after a disappointing 0-0 draw away to West Ham last time out, a performance Koeman described as one of the worst of his tenure as Blues boss. Despite the fact that they will be facing a formidable Chelsea side, the Toffees will be confident of giving anybody a game on their own patch, having lost only 1 of their 17 home league fixtures all season.
All eyes will be on the Premier League’s top scorer, and reported Chelsea target, Romelu Lukaku, so it will be interesting to see how the prolific Belgian gets on here. Everton look destined for a 7th place finish which will bring European football back to Goodison Park next season and with the promise of a large transfer kitty, even if they lose Lukaku, it’s exciting times for the Toffees faithful.
Chelsea picked up another massive 3 points against Southampton during the week to take a step closer to Premier League glory. The return to form of Diego Costa in that game will be a huge boost to Antonio Conte. This is a massive game for Chelsea as it represents the most difficult game of their run in, so win here and the Blues will feel that the title is theirs. Drop any points and Spurs will go into the North London derby against Arsenal shortly afterwards knowing that a win will have them within a point or 2 of the leaders with 4 games remaining.
Lukaku anytime 13/10
Middlesborough v Man City
Middlesborough won their first game under new manager Steve Agnew against Sunderland in the Tyne-Wear derby during the week to at least give themselves a fighting chance of staying up. That’s all it is though, a slight chance of staying up as they still don’t score enough goals or create enough chances. Worryingly, their main asset, not conceding many goals, seems to have deserted them since Aitor Karanka’s dismissal. I expect Boro to the playing in the Championship next season and not many will shed a tear at losing this most uninspiring of teams from the Premier League.
Man City’s performance in the Manchester derby kind of summed up their season, loads of possession but not quite clinical enough with their chances. Claudio Bravo even managed to throw in a few comedy capers to keep us all entertained, flapping at a cross in the first half and having to be stretchered off with a calf strain after he did the unthinkable and actually caught a ball.
Pep’s men should have enough for Boro here and should finish in 3rd or 4th spot, but make no mistake, this has been a disappointing season for the Citizens considering they spent more money than any other club during the summer and big improvements will be needed next term.
Man City and both to score 7/4
Spurs v Arsenal
Spurs kept the pressure up on Chelsea with a hard fought win over Crystal Palace on Wednesday. It’s now 8 wins in a row for Spurs and although their performance in midweek was far from their best, it did show an ability to grind out a win in difficult circumstances, which is vital at this stage of the season. Spurs may be without Moussa Dembele but even so they will go into this game as massive favourites and it’s hard to argue with that, Spurs look stronger than Arsenal both individually and collectively.
Things have gone a little quite around the Emirates lately after 3 wins in a row for the Gunners. They still looked short of confidence for large parts of their home win against Leicester during the week and they very much remain a club in turmoil so only a mad man would back the Gunners to add to their one victory in their last 8 visits to White Hart Lane tomorrow.
For me Spurs to win this is an absolute “stick your house on it” job, smash in and smash in hard lads!!!
A red card at 5/2 is also never a bad shout in a Derby game.
Spurs and over 2.5 goals 2/1
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