We were so unlucky last week. Somehow, Watford and Stoke could only manage one goal between them, and Chelsea didn’t have their shooting boots on against Bournemouth. Match of the Day was a tough watch on Saturday night.
We got 8/10 predictions right, but hopefully this week we can go a couple better. We have a 14/1 goals accy this week. Saturday’s football isn’t going to be that exciting but there’s 4 big matches across Sky and BT on Sunday to watch.
Stoke v Leicester – Over 1.5 Goals
Stoke have only kept a clean sheet twice this season, but have also scored in eight of their 10 Premier League games. Leicester have also scored in eight of their games this season, and have only failed to score at Old Trafford and the Vitality.
The four games they have played against each other over the last two seasons have averaged three goals per game. Over 1.5 goals looks like the obvious bet here, but if your into BTTS this game would be a good shout.
Huddersfield v West Brom – Team A / Over 0.5 Goals
West Brom have only picked up one point this season away from home since beating Burnley away in match day two. Huddersfield have scored in three out of their five home games, and scored two against Man Utd in their last one. Bookies aren’t expecting a lot of goals in this and the odds aren’t the best for this game, but the home team to score looks like good value.
Odds 4/9 *Note: Bet365 users will need to go to the clean sheet market and choose West Brom not to keep a clean sheet
Newcastle v Bournemouth – Over 1.5 Goals
Newcastle have won three and drawn one, out of the five games they have played at home this season. They only failed to score or pick up a point at home against Spurs in match day one. Bournemouth scored two goals in their last away game against Stoke and were unlucky not to get on the score sheet against Chelsea last week. I see this as either a comfortable win for Newcastle or a score draw, so over 1.5 goals seems like a solid bet for this one.
Southampton v Bournemouth – Under 3.5 Goals
Since the opening day of the season when Burnley beat Chelsea 3-2, they have only managed to score either one or no goals in all of their games since. Southampton haven’t been that prolific in front of goal either; only managing to score two goals or more in a game twice this season. I can’t see there being many goals in this game and the bookies can’t either. There would need to be four goals scored at St Marys on Saturday for this bet to lose, which I can’t see happening.
Swansea v Brighton – Team A / Over 0.5 Goals
Swansea have scored in their last three home games and I feel that this is a must win game for them, with the pressure growing on their manager Paul Clement. A defeat here would be disastrous for him, so I see them taking the game to Brighton and getting on the score sheet.
Brighton have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven of the 10 Premier League games that they have played this season. The bookies see this as a low scoring game, so the odds are difficult to work with. This will probably be the last game on Match of the Day.
West Ham v Liverpool – Over 1.5 Goals
The bookies see this as a goal fest and I was tempted to go over 2.5 goals. Both teams are scoring and conceding at the moment and there was four goals scored in both the games they played against each other last season. With the earlier fixtures being so difficult, we dont want this to be the one to let us down so two goals in this seems like a solid bet.
Spurs v Crystal Palace – Team A / Over 1.5
Spurs’ Wembley problems seem to be over and Palace are conceding too many goals to stay in the league. I think Spurs will bag a few on Sunday in a comfortable win and should score two for this bet to win.
Chelsea v Man Utd – Under 3.5 Goals
This will be a tight affair, and everyone expects Mourinho to use the tactics he normally plays in the big games; he will try and frustrate Chelsea and score on the counter. I really think Chelsea will score but I’m just worried that this game could finish 0-0. There won’t be many goals in this one, so three goals or less looks like a solid bet. Both Managers hate each other and are not going to give an inch.
Man City v Arsenal – Team A / Over 1.5 Goals
Can’t see anything else but a comfortable win for City and they will probably score a few against a leaky Arsenal defence. City will have a chance to go eight points clear at the top of the table before Man Utd kick-off against Chelsea later in the day. City have only failed to score two goals or more twice this season. This is a good bet with decent odds to boost up any accumulator.
Everton v Watford – Team B / Over 0.5 Goals
We need a single goal from Watford for this bet to win and I think they will score. Watford only know how to play one way under Marco Silva and that is to attack. They were unlucky not to score last week and are up against an Everton side who are really struggling.
Everton also travelled to Lyon in the Europa League on Thursday, so fitness could be key in this game. I just don’t know where Everton’s goals are going to come from so keeping the bet as Watford only needing one goal seems like a solid punt.
Written by Adam Smith.
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