In our weekly feature, we will be pre-viewing all the Premier League games and picking out what we see to be good value odds. Including a brief narrative on why we’ve made these picks.
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Spurs v Watford
Spurs produced an epic comeback from 1-0 down after 87 mins to win 3-1 away to Swansea in midweek to keep their chances of catching Chelsea and winning the Premier League alive. It’s 6 wins on the trot for Pochettino’s men. Many expected them to struggle without Harry Kane but it’s been business as usual so far with Eriksen, Alli and Son really stepping up to the plate in their talismanic Strikers absence. To win the Premier League, Spurs will more than likely have to win all of their remaining 8 games, which will be a tough ask despite their excellent form.
Watford were starting to slide towards the relegation zone a few weeks ago but solid home victories over West Brom and Sunderland have seen them jump up to 10th place on 37 points, which basically confirms their Premie League status for next season. With Watford now safe we expect them to show up at Spurs wearing their flip flops and in beach mode as they await their summer holidays and an easy home win for Spurs to close the gap on Chelsea to 4 points which seems the most likely outcome.
Eriksen anytime 13/10
Man City v Hull
City need a win here to maintain their push for the top four, after taking only 1 point from their 2 trips to London in the last week. Guardiola was right to be pleased with his team’s showing against Chelsea where they were the better side for large parts and restricted Chelsea to very few chances especially in the second half. The problems for Pep are obvious, it’s the defence, as going forward they are a match for anybody. Sort that out during the summer and they’ll have a great chance of winning the League next year.
Hull and the main man Marco Silva rock up to the Etihad finally out of the relegation zone for the first time since October after 2 wins in their last 2 games. Thats 40 games unbeaten at home for Silva including his time in Portugal and Greece. With each victory he is mugging off the little Englanders that kicked up such a fuss when he was hired. This will be a bridge too far however and City will have too much quality for the Tigers. Hull are now in with a great chance of survival and with home games to come against on the beach Watford and hopeless Sunderland I personally wouldn’t bet against them plying their trade in the Premier League again next season.
Man City and under 3.5 goals evens
Middlesborough v Burnley
It’s 2 losses on the trot after Boro’s uninspiring choice to have Steve Agnew take over as manager in place of Aitor Karanka. To be fair to Agnew they hadn’t scored in 7 before he took over and they’ve scored 3 in 2 to show immediate improvement on that front. The only problem is that they weren’t conceding many before he took over and have now conceded 7 in 2, so the good work at one end is being cancelled out at the other. Boro are now 7 points from safety and look doomed and it’s hard to make any type of a case for wanting them to stay up. They have not done a single thing of note all season.
Sean Dyche and his beautiful gravely voice will travel to the North East looking for their first league win of the season having amassed 95% of their league points at Turf Moor. As I’ve said many times I really want them to be the first team to stay in the top flight without recording a single away victory since the mighty Coventry City.
Stoke v Liverpool
Stoke have hit a run of poor form lately, taking only 1 point from their last 4 games. Mark Hughes will be looking for a big performance here to quieten the growing dissent among the Potters support. The news this week that Saido Berahino’s charity is embroiled in controversy for not passing on money raised for WaterAid gave me a good laugh, maybe he thought it was spiked! Loads of controversies and no goals for Berahino since his move to the bet365 stadium.
Liverpool, as they so often do, after a big result against Everton followed it up with a disappointing result against Bournemouth, a team that on paper they should easily brush aside. Couthinho’s recent return to form is good news for Red’s fans. Although they continue to struggle without Mane. They haven’t won a single Premie League game the Senegalese has not started.
Result 2-2 14/1
WBA v Southampton
Tony Pulis will have loved the excellent defensive display his side put in against Man United last weekend, although they followed it up with a disappointing loss away at Watford. It’s been a good season for the Baggies, all things considered, and their target now will be to reach 50 points, something the club has never done before in the Premier League.
Southampton had a great victory midweek against Palace to move them up to 9th position on 37 points. They’re a solid Premier League outfit Southampton, with the likes of Ward Prowse, Redmond, Cedric and Romeo all having excellent season. Expect them all to move to Liverpool in the summer.
West Brom 2/1
West Ham v Swansea
The Hammers are in poor form, losing 5 on the trot and conceding 12 goals in the process. Slaven Bilic is coming under increased pressure and they are in danger of being pulled into a relegation dogfight, so this is a must win for them. He’s had a lot on his plate this year Slav so he should be cut a bit of slack in my eyes. He may be better off walking at the end of the season if he isn’t pushed as dealing with that silly cow Karen Brady and the 2 porn kings regularly must be a nightmare. The Hammers board have become completely disconnected from the fans which isn’t helping the team at all.
This is also a massive must win game for Swansea. After a great start to life in South Wales Paul Clements side have only won one of their last 6 and dropped back into the relegation zone after their heartbreaking midweek loss to Spurs. Sigurdson still looks a threat but to have a chance to win this they really need frontman Llorente to come back into the team after his recent injury troubles.
With both teams scrapping for their lives there’s bound to be a bit of drama in this one.
Penalty in game 11/4
Bournemouth v Chelsea
Bournemouth have been ticking along nicely lately after a shocking start to 2017. It’s 7 Premier League outings without defeat for the Cherries and in Joshua King they have one of the League’s in form strikers.
Chelsea had a massive win over Man City in midweek without being at their best. In the position there are in now, performances mean nothing however. It’s all about getting the last few wins that will see them crowned Champions. They’ll have too much for Bournemouth here you’d expect.
Chelsea and over 2.5 goals 11/8
Sunderland v Man United
Sunderland should be planning for the Championship. They currently sit marooned at the bottom of the League, 10 points from safety. Many at the club may have actually been grateful for the midweek controversy surrounding Manager David Moyes after he threatened to slap a female reporter for being a bit naughty. It may well have distracted a lot of people from how shit they actually are on the field. The Black Cats have won one of their 12 Premier League games in 2017.
Man United’s manager and players have come in for heavy criticism after 2 disappointing home draws in a week. They really have nobody else but themselves to blame as they have consistently fluffed their lines when they had opportunities to gain ground on their top four rivals all season. To put things into perspective they would be in 3rd now with games in hand had they won the last 2 home games against West Brom and Everton. A major squad overhaul will be needed in the summer if they are to get anywhere near their target of challenging for the Premeir League title.
Man United to nil 21/20
Everton v Leicester
Everton put in a good performance at Old Trafford in midweek and were unlucky not leave with all 3 points. It came after they had flopped yet again at Anfield in the game before however. Ashley Williams suspension will be a big blow to Ronald Koeman as Jamie Vardy must be licking his lips at the prospect of coming up against an ageing Phil Jagielka and youngster Matthew Pennington.
It’s 7 wins on the bounce for Leicester since Craig Shakespeare took over from Claudio Ranieri. Completely justifying the boards decision to let the loveable Italian go. At odds of 4/1 they look worth smashing into here.
Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Palace’s winning run of 4 games was brought to a halt by Southampton in midweek. Big Sams side are far from safe just yet, sitting just 3 points above the drop zone. Palace face a pretty horrific run in, facing 5 of the top 6 in their last 8 games. What Sam does have on his side however is a much improved defensive unit and an attack that is starting to click at just the right time of the season. Zaha is in the form of his life at the minute and Benteke has regained his confidence in front of gaol after a barren spell. They’ll probably have enough to stay up but it will be tight I’d imagine.
Arsenal finally got back to winning ways against a poor West Ham side midweek but there are still massive questions marks over this Gunners side. Its been a bit of car crash of a season with everything going on at the club and we expect them to struggle here at a rocking Selhurst Park.
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